About Nate Silver:
Nathaniel Read is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics) and elections (see psephology). He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate SilverAlmost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver